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Historical Perspectives for Mid-Terms & Markets

Christopher LaPorta

November 16, 2018

During the months of September and October, some news media covering the financial markets attempted to explain stock market performance by asserting prices were reflecting a “typical election pattern.” Though the exact phrasing may differ, one often cited explanation for near-term equity volatility by the media was that daily moves in stocks could be attributed to hope or anxiety over the results of the forthcoming election, especially if a presidential tweet recently occurred. 

This Market Brief reviews stock market activity for the 17 mid-term election years since 1950 to see if just such an effect exists